AAP to win majority of Delhi votes in assembly, Lok Sabha polls: Survey
The poll, conducted by IPSOS for ABP News shows that the growing support for AAP comes almost entirely at the expense of the Congress, which is likely to be completely marginalised in both the assembly and LS elections. On whether there should be a re-poll, the verdict was overwhelming with 84.8% saying there should be.
According to the survey, while 49.1% of respondents felt the AAP decision on quitting government was right, 48.9% felt it was wrong. Despite the even split on this question, 67.1% said they would vote for the party if re-polls were held now, compared to 23.1% for BJP and a mere 6.5% for Congress. In the elections held in December, BJP had won 33.1%, AAP 29.5% and Congress 24.5%. If what the ABP News survey predicts is right, AAP will eat into both Congress and BJP votes, but much more into Congress than BJP.
As for the Lok Sabha polls, 55.6% said they would vote for AAP, 34.1% picked BJP and 6.7% chose Congress. The somewhat more even contest between AAP and BJP in the LS polls could be partly due to a 'Modi wave' and partly because AAP is still not seen as a major national player.
The support for AAP is explained by the response to a question on whether its government lived up to the promises it had made. Almost two-thirds (62%) said it had and less than a third (31.9%) felt it had not. more