End of AAP
In the recent New Delhi Assembly by-poll in Rajouri Garden, the AAP candidate not only lost, but also lost his deposit. One struggles to think such a fate befalling the ruling party of any state.
The writing has been on the wall for quite some time now. The AAP is a party in terminal decline and may not last past the year 2020, when its Delhi Assembly term ends. Here are some of the reasons why…
1) Kejriwal’s personal reputation is in tatters
Arvind Kejriwal’s personal charisma saw the spectacular success of the 2011 August Kranti agitation, the launch of the AAP and his storming to power in Delhi. But after that he is in decline and has been in the news for all the wrong reasons.
He has been reduced to a joke in social media and gives Rahul “Pappu” Gandhi a run for his money in being the laughing stock. Not a good sign for any politician if you set out to be Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s rival but end up being Pappu’s replacement.
He had his ups and downs from 2011-15, but since then it's only down. Kejriwal is always in the news for all the wrong reasons, shooting off his mouth without thinking and always on the defensive regarding his party’s misdeeds.
AAP is a one-man party and when that one man sinks, he will inevitably take the party down with him.
2) Bad governance and no achievements till date
From 2011-15, Kejriwal ran on the basis of promises and kept saying he wanted just one chance to prove himself. Well, no politician can get a better chance than being given 67/70 seats in any Assembly. Kejriwal has totally squandered that.
In the last two years he doesn’t have any achievements to boast of and there is nothing that suggests that Delhi citizens are leading a better quality of life. Whether it is roads, power, water or any kind of reforms, Kejriwal has done nothing of note.
Forget giving a better kind of politics, AAP politicians have acquired a reputation of being the very worst in Delhi.
In the past, many parties kept getting re-elected on the basis of caste and religion. But Kejriwal promised good governance and good politics. He has fallen woefully short on both counts. He currently has absolutely nothing to woo voters.
3) Funds drying up for the AAP
Every political party runs on funds. Years back, there was great enthusiasm for the AAP and Kejriwal got a lot of funding from NRIs and the middle class of India. But that is in the past and funds are now down to a trickle.
AAP funding is in the news for all the wrong reasons too. Former founding member Yogendra Yadav said the AAP was no longer transparent in its donor list. Punjab chief minister Amarinder Singh claimed they were being funded by Khalistanis.
Former Punjab deputy CM openly accused AAP of getting funds from “terrorist organisations having roots in foreign lands”. Then there comes news like the Delhi Lieutenant-Governor asking the party to return a good Rs 97 crore on ad money spent on promoting the party outside the state.
It is uncertain how long the party can last on the basis of such uncertain funding.
4) Court cases finally catching up
In 2011 Kejriwal and his supporters lamented the fact that there were so many chargesheeted politicians in Parliament. Well now there are dozens and dozens of cases against Kejriwal, his MLAs and AAP leaders.
The Indian judiciary system is slow, but it eventually does catch up. There was the 2013 dharna case, the attack on BJP headquarters and many arrests and bails of his MLAs. Very soon, the AAP will spend all their time in the courts.
The Arun Jaitley criminal defamation case is catching up against Kejriwal and an Assam court had also issued a bailable arrest warrant against him. The Shunglu report has brought to light many irregularities committed by the Kejriwal government. You can be sure that many more cases will pile up.
Kejriwal needs just one conviction in any personal case against him for his MLA ticket to be cancelled (and hence the loss of his CM’s post) and he won’t even be able to contest elections for six years!
5) Wipe-out in Goa and missed opportunity in Punjab
There is no way a small party like AAP can compete in large states like Uttar Pradesh, Bihar or say Tamil Nadu. That way their only chance was cities and small states. The AAP did OK initially, getting four Lok Sabha seats in Punjab in 2014 and capturing Delhi in 2015.
But 2017 was a missed opportunity for them. There was a severe anti-incumbency wave against SAD in Punjab and the AAP failed to capitalise on that. They got thrashed by the Congress. They were wiped out in Goa. Their long-term strategy has been severely dented.
With disillusionment high in New Delhi, you could say the AAP currently enjoys no goodwill in any city or small state in India to build on for the future.
6) Possible disqualification of 21 MLAs
There is an office of profit case against 21 AAP MLAs and all reports suggest they have a very weak case. So there’s a good chance the Election Commission may disqualify them and hold fresh elections.
Any ruling party losing one-third of their MLAs in one stroke is unprecedented and though the AAP will not lose power, overnight they will be humiliated and severely weakened.
7) Need something really special to counter Modi
From 2013-17, Modi has won almost every electoral battle he has fought. Exceptions are Bihar and Delhi in 2015. In Bihar, Nitish Kumar was a very popular CM who formed a Mahagatbandhan. From 2011-15, Kejriwal worked on the basis of “promise” and “potential”.
But Kejriwal has thrown down the only card he has. He has nothing to fight Modi in the 2019 general elections. He has nothing to defend the 2020 Delhi elections. That is why Kejriwal has reached a political endgame and the AAP faces extinction. more
The writing has been on the wall for quite some time now. The AAP is a party in terminal decline and may not last past the year 2020, when its Delhi Assembly term ends. Here are some of the reasons why…
1) Kejriwal’s personal reputation is in tatters
Arvind Kejriwal’s personal charisma saw the spectacular success of the 2011 August Kranti agitation, the launch of the AAP and his storming to power in Delhi. But after that he is in decline and has been in the news for all the wrong reasons.
He has been reduced to a joke in social media and gives Rahul “Pappu” Gandhi a run for his money in being the laughing stock. Not a good sign for any politician if you set out to be Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s rival but end up being Pappu’s replacement.
He had his ups and downs from 2011-15, but since then it's only down. Kejriwal is always in the news for all the wrong reasons, shooting off his mouth without thinking and always on the defensive regarding his party’s misdeeds.
AAP is a one-man party and when that one man sinks, he will inevitably take the party down with him.
2) Bad governance and no achievements till date
From 2011-15, Kejriwal ran on the basis of promises and kept saying he wanted just one chance to prove himself. Well, no politician can get a better chance than being given 67/70 seats in any Assembly. Kejriwal has totally squandered that.
In the last two years he doesn’t have any achievements to boast of and there is nothing that suggests that Delhi citizens are leading a better quality of life. Whether it is roads, power, water or any kind of reforms, Kejriwal has done nothing of note.
Forget giving a better kind of politics, AAP politicians have acquired a reputation of being the very worst in Delhi.
In the past, many parties kept getting re-elected on the basis of caste and religion. But Kejriwal promised good governance and good politics. He has fallen woefully short on both counts. He currently has absolutely nothing to woo voters.
3) Funds drying up for the AAP
Every political party runs on funds. Years back, there was great enthusiasm for the AAP and Kejriwal got a lot of funding from NRIs and the middle class of India. But that is in the past and funds are now down to a trickle.
AAP funding is in the news for all the wrong reasons too. Former founding member Yogendra Yadav said the AAP was no longer transparent in its donor list. Punjab chief minister Amarinder Singh claimed they were being funded by Khalistanis.
Former Punjab deputy CM openly accused AAP of getting funds from “terrorist organisations having roots in foreign lands”. Then there comes news like the Delhi Lieutenant-Governor asking the party to return a good Rs 97 crore on ad money spent on promoting the party outside the state.
It is uncertain how long the party can last on the basis of such uncertain funding.
4) Court cases finally catching up
In 2011 Kejriwal and his supporters lamented the fact that there were so many chargesheeted politicians in Parliament. Well now there are dozens and dozens of cases against Kejriwal, his MLAs and AAP leaders.
The Indian judiciary system is slow, but it eventually does catch up. There was the 2013 dharna case, the attack on BJP headquarters and many arrests and bails of his MLAs. Very soon, the AAP will spend all their time in the courts.
The Arun Jaitley criminal defamation case is catching up against Kejriwal and an Assam court had also issued a bailable arrest warrant against him. The Shunglu report has brought to light many irregularities committed by the Kejriwal government. You can be sure that many more cases will pile up.
Kejriwal needs just one conviction in any personal case against him for his MLA ticket to be cancelled (and hence the loss of his CM’s post) and he won’t even be able to contest elections for six years!
5) Wipe-out in Goa and missed opportunity in Punjab
There is no way a small party like AAP can compete in large states like Uttar Pradesh, Bihar or say Tamil Nadu. That way their only chance was cities and small states. The AAP did OK initially, getting four Lok Sabha seats in Punjab in 2014 and capturing Delhi in 2015.
But 2017 was a missed opportunity for them. There was a severe anti-incumbency wave against SAD in Punjab and the AAP failed to capitalise on that. They got thrashed by the Congress. They were wiped out in Goa. Their long-term strategy has been severely dented.
With disillusionment high in New Delhi, you could say the AAP currently enjoys no goodwill in any city or small state in India to build on for the future.
6) Possible disqualification of 21 MLAs
There is an office of profit case against 21 AAP MLAs and all reports suggest they have a very weak case. So there’s a good chance the Election Commission may disqualify them and hold fresh elections.
Any ruling party losing one-third of their MLAs in one stroke is unprecedented and though the AAP will not lose power, overnight they will be humiliated and severely weakened.
7) Need something really special to counter Modi
From 2013-17, Modi has won almost every electoral battle he has fought. Exceptions are Bihar and Delhi in 2015. In Bihar, Nitish Kumar was a very popular CM who formed a Mahagatbandhan. From 2011-15, Kejriwal worked on the basis of “promise” and “potential”.
But Kejriwal has thrown down the only card he has. He has nothing to fight Modi in the 2019 general elections. He has nothing to defend the 2020 Delhi elections. That is why Kejriwal has reached a political endgame and the AAP faces extinction. more
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We do not know whether AAP is in tatters or not, but it is starkly evident that this original posting shows that the Center is desperate t prove that AAP is "finished". Very childish, on the part of the Center, why do they not talk about what their BJP Councillors are doing, twiddling their fingers? more
Apr 23
I have just forget to mention one point here. I have just came to know about one of the favourite Central Govt. cabinet minister who has been transferred to other ministry after Students movements. I am not mentioning name as I am in a process of getting proof. Family members of that minister are indulged in corrupt practice of moving logistics from one state to other state of the country illegally with the help of other dept/ministry. They are doing so to evade the tax to be paid to govt. of different states. For your kind information Respected Atal Ji were ready to remove the then CM of Gujrat after 2002 Godhra Right but Advani Ji saved the CM then. Today, the Shishya of Advani Ji has become Duryodhana and Advani Ji has become Dhritrashtra. Can a person respect women who never accepted his own wife? Can he respect the nation who shunted his own political master? Can he compare himself with the Great Congress PM Lal Bahadur Shastri who resigned as railway minister when a rail accident took place? Pt Jawaharlal Nehru got him stiched two new suits when Shashtri Ji was going to some other country. Shashtri Ji never used his offcial vehicle for his personal use. This opportunist person is heading the Govt at center today. He is abusing Congress everyday without saying that many great Congressmen have served this country to greatest level. He said recently that "hardwork" won over "Harward". Yes, he has done great hard work in disturbing the peaceful atmosphere of the country. The goons of Yadav clans in UP have been replaced by that of current CM "Yuva Vahini". People are daydreaming. After the sunset of Modiji's political melodrama the Pandara Box of corruption during his tenure wil open and then the people who are chanting his name whole day will start abusing him. Current time is of Modi, so I cannot say more. May god save my country and the great culture of us who adopted different religions/faith "Huns/Saks/Moguls/Parsis/Muslims/Christians" etc. more
Apr 22
Thanks a lot VBS Shekharan Ji. Yes, AAA & Kejriwal Ji will have to change their approach. Instead of criticizing the oppositon it would be better if they just talk about what they have done and what is left and ask people how to make Delhi better. In doing so there should be direct interaction to people by arranging a meeting point. Note: AAP should take the case of "Minimum wage for working people in factories/private sector". Raise this issue on the highest level and ask BJP at every forum if it should be done in welfare of the common man or not. If they say yes AAP should just need to communicate "the double standard of BJP" to the people. I have heard since my childhood that "the cloud that thunders more does not give rain". AAP should stop doing this. The real intellectuals are with them. more
Apr 22
You seem to have gone to great lengths to malign Kejriwal and AAP. But most of your statements are Cliches and rhetoric. It is an absurdity to say that AAP and Kejriwal have done nothing in their years in power. The reputation he is developing is mostly a gift of BJP. But such a long write-up only points to BJP propaganda. more
Apr 21
I see a genuine analysis of AAP by Prabhakar Sharma.. We should not forget one thing..That is Arvind kejriwal was at war with A Seasoned Political Stalwart..who for no reason wanted to let go off Delhi From his clutches, He made all efforts to see Delhi comes back to his lap..Yes..i agree that there are few mistakes that Mr. AK has made in haste i.e. Hunt for Punjab & Goa.. He ought to have proven his mettle in Delhi by making it a paradise as he had promised..A paradise for Women..A paradise for Students..A Paradise for Economically Weaker Patients who were denied medical aid when they needed, A paradise for Every Voter who had confided in his Vision..without even giving a damn to his amateur Image in the Political gallery.. Agreed that Center & the LG was not allowing him to work..but ""A Mightier Enemy is the right Teacher" to Teach you strategy. I also agree with Mr Sudarshan Goyal ji's view that.. AK was a Child amongst all the Mighty Political Monsters..and he had a chance to learn from them..!!! more
Apr 21
