Measuring Success of Demonetisation and Measures
1) Govt till Dec 30th receives another 4-6.5 lakh crores in bank deposits. This indicates that majority of the black money has been laundered and is now in banks and the black money identified is small i.e 0-2.5 lakh crores. This will indicate that the scheme has been unsuccessful with a lot of cost incurred and a lot of pain undertaken by the citizens and slowdown in earnings/business hasn't yielded much.
2) Govt receives 0-4 lakh crores in bank deposits till Dec 30th. This indicates that there is anywhere between 2.5-6.5 lakh crore black money that is identified. This will prove that the scheme is successful and a lot of black money has been unearthed. This amount will be the gain for the nation.
There are print media reports about a possible amnesty income disclosure scheme (IDS2). The amnesty scheme will allow black money hoarders to convert their black money into white and get amnesty. We would like to seek your inputs if you see any benefits from the amnesty scheme and what are they.
Also, if you have inputs on additional measures that should be looked at to measure success of the scheme, please share the same.
We look forward to your inputs! more