Surge of easy credit and loans is it a pre cursor for economy crash in India?
1 - GDP vs debt as per tradeeconomics.com stands at 68.70%, to put it to perspective it means that approximately 70% of our countries monetary value generated from final products and services provided is debt and it is a red alert for any economy approaching the 90% mark and we are pretty close.
2 - Rupee is losing strength against US dollar and we have a major major debt in trade 17390 USD Million, don't even want to convert it to rupees.
3 - There is a trade war going on between the 2 biggest economy of the world, do we really think that it is not going to affect Indian economy.
4 - There is full blown economic crisis in countries like Argentina, Venezuela, Iran, Turkey. China and Japan have crossed the 250% gdp vs debt mark and US sanctions are already being imposed on most of these countries do we really think that it is not going to touch the economy of India I doubt that but I do not see any financial pundits talking about it.
5 - Failures after failures in terms of governments monetary policies like demonetization, emphasis on cashless society, make in india, GST and several more topped up with tons of tax payer money being routed to big businesses without any oversight is really not going to have affect on the people working hard to make the ends meet.
6 - Private banks and investment firms are getting bigger and bigger, loan has grown to 13.5% almost 1 to 1.5% increase in the month of august. External debt of 529673 USD Million.
Demonetization has forced us to use less and less cash so what happens if we cannot withdraw our cash from the banks in a economical crash scenario which every financial analysis groups like bloomberg, morgan stanley and several other reputed institutions are predicting.
It is always going to be the emerging markets which are going to be hit the worst, probably 5-6 times worse than 2008. Is our country and economy prepared to tackle such a crisis. Are we as individuals even aware of this looming threat, is this looming threat being deliberately kept from the general public. I would like to know what are the thoughts of this community and what do you think should be the direction of the country to strengthen its economic and socio-economic structure to tackle an impending meltdown. more
Govts. after '90 Gulf War effects in Fuel and Power, did not restrict import of Vehicles while neglected Govt. Public Transport Facilities.
Govts. restricted Self Power Generation in Industries since beginning and, this had resulted in winding of thousands of Small Scale, Hundreds of Medium and Large Industries due to low production continuously becoming Sick.
Banks also did not come in rescue of such Sick Units in extending timely Working Capital Gap.
All such put together with continued Tax Evasion, multiple invoices on Single Way-Bioll, Delivery Challan resulted in deteriorated National Income that could have extended to Self Employment and continuity in Education. more